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In this analysis we offer inflation-related updates to Chapter 1 of Recession Remedies: Lessons Learned from the U.S. Economic Policy Response to COVID-19, highlighting that the service sector has replaced goods as the primary driver of inflationary pressure in recent months, and that the continued rise in inflation has led to further declines in real wages in aggregate.
On March 22, 2022, The Hamilton Project at the Brookings Institution hosted a webcast entitled “Tracking the Recovery From the COVID-19 Recession” that took stock of the state of the economy, the state of public health, and the relationship between the two.
Using new data from the American Community Survey, Lauren Bauer, Veronica Clevenstine, and Moriah Macklin look into why some same-gender relationship households have higher median incomes than opposite-gender relationship households.
To conclude the year, Veronica Clevenstine, Wendy Edelberg, Moriah Macklin, Beatriz Rivera, Winnie Yee present a month-by-month journey in figure through The Hamilton Project's research, analysis, and policy proposals.
In this analysis Lauren Bauer and Wendy Edelberg identify when and which people are returning to labor market and explore how changing participation rates by different groups is contributing to the labor market recovery.
"In this analysis, Wendy Edelberg examines the economic factors driving the recent elevation in inflation levels, identifying extraordinary pandemic-related changes in consumer demand and issues in supply-chains that have impacted prices in the core goods sector, in particular."
Lauren Bauer, Veronica Clevenstine, Wendy Edelberg, Elisabeth Raczek, and Winnie Yee explore how the decision whether to enroll in school or work during the pandemic have played out through the 2020-21 academic school year and the summer of 2021.
Lauren Bauer, Krista Ruffini, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach offer a preliminary analysis of the effect of the Pandemic EBT program on food hardship to date.
Wendy Edelberg and Louise Sheiner delineate how the economy is likely to suffer lasting and avoidable damage should the debt limit bind.
Stephanie Aaronson, Mitchell Barnes, and Wendy Edelberg discuss the benefits and potential limitations of promoting a tight labor market to eliminate racial and ethnic disparities in unemployment rates.
In a new analysis from The Hamilton Project, Lauren Bauer explores how the 2021 revision of the Thrifty Food plan will support families currently facing food insecurity and economic hardship.
From May-December 2020, working moms with kid(s) 12 and under spent more weekday hours on child care than working.
In a new blog, Ryan Nunn outlines reforms to occupational licensing and non-compete contracts that would boost labor market competition and benefit workers.
In a new blog, Elizabeth Lee, Sophia Mariam, Este Griffith, Robert Greenstein explore the role of social insurance and highlight policy proposals for reforms that would make vital and lasting improvements to the U.S. social insurance system.
In a new blog, Mitchell Barnes, Mark Booth, Wendy Edelberg, and Sara Estep analyze data from the Daily Treasury Statements and examine the impact of the recession on households and business owners across the income distribution.
Lauren Bauer, Arindrajit Dube, Wendy Edelberg, and Aaron Sojourner explore the factors leading to slower-than-expected employment gains during the post-COVID economic recovery as well as circumstances holding people back from participating in the labor force.
In a new blog, Bob Greenstein outlines the future of the Child Tax Credit, and examines how the American Family Plan can help make this credit permanent.
In a new blog, Lauren Bauer provides new evidence that mothers — particularly mothers of children under five and unmarried mothers — are being left behind in the economic recovery from COVID-19.
In this analysis, Wendy Edelberg, Elizabeth Lee, Sara Estep, Madison Bober highligh a selection of policy proposals from The Hamilton Project’s 2020 book titled Tackling the Tax Code: Efficient and Equitable Ways to Raise Revenue.
In this analysis, Jay Shambaugh provides evidence to help interpret forthcoming releases of inflation data as they begin to capture the impact of the COVID-19 downturn.
In this analysis, we examine the impacts of the pandemic recession across different dimensions, including employment, labor force participation, and the need to switch industries. This analysis provides texture and evidence to the emerging understanding that women and people of color, working in the service industry, have been the most negatively affected.
Ten Senate Republicans recently proposed a $618-billion COVID relief package. In this piece, we provide an analysis of that package and update our analysis of the Biden Administration’s $1.9 trillion fiscal package, using the current-law GDP projections that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released on Monday.
In this piece, Wendy Edelberg and Louise Sheiner project the effect of the Biden package on GDP. They project that if the Biden package were enacted, GDP would reach the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) pre-pandemic GDP projection after the third quarter of 2021, exceeding it by 1 percent in the fourth quarter. In the middle of 2022, GDP would show a temporary and shallow decline and then grow at an annual rate of about 1.5 percent, coming close to the path projected just before the pandemic.
In this analysis, Kristen Broady, Eliana Buckner, Jennifer Umanzor, and Sarah Wheaton find that while nearly every school in our sample offered in-person experiences in March, only about 30 percent were planning to maintain that in-person experience by September. Public schools and community colleges were particularly likely to go online, which disproportionately impacted students of color as well as low-income students.