Publications
The Hamilton Project produces and commissions policy proposals and analyses to promote broad-based economic growth by embracing a significant role for well-designed government policies and public investment.
Posts
Will the reconciliation bill’s Child Tax Credit changes leave out children in low-income working families?
Lawmakers are considering a Child Tax Credit expansion that would primarily benefit higher-income families while continuing to exclude millions of children from the poorest working families.
Economic Security & Inequality
Tax Policy & Budget
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Papers
Changes in the safety net over recent decades and their impact
Economic Security & Inequality
Social Insurance
Papers
A primer on SNAP work requirements
Economic Security & Inequality
Employment & Wages
Social Insurance
Posts
Work permit applications suggest prior immigration is still pushing up labor supply—for now
Employment & Wages
Immigration
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Immigration and the macroeconomy in the second Trump administration
This AEI-Brookings-Niskanen Center analysis explores the potential effects of President Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies on the economy.
Event recap—How would across-the-board tariffs create chaos in 2025?
On October 17, The Hamilton Project and the Peterson Institute for International Economics hosted a webinar to discuss the economic implications of across-the-…
Immigration and the macroeconomy after 2024
This analysis explores the potential effects of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies on GDP growth.
Tariffs on all imports would create chaos for business
Wendy Edelberg and Maurice Obstfeld warn that tariffs on all U.S. imports would create chaos for American businesses.
New immigration estimates help make sense of the pace of employment
This analysis considers recent immigration flows and implications for the labor market, consumer spending, GDP, and inflation.
High mortgage rates are probably here for a while (November 2023)
An analysis identifies factors behind the increase in mortgage rates and the gap between mortgage rates and U.S. Treasury securities.
Debt ceiling brinksmanship has clear negative effects on taxpayers
Debt limit brinksmanship is already impacting Treasury securities. The increase in interest rates represents a cost to taxpayers and a lack of confidence among…
Are we headed for the soft-ish landing projected by CBO and the Fed?
Recent CBO and Fed projections point toward a soft-ish landing: a return to low inflation with only a modest slowdown in economic activity and the labor market.
