Publications
The Hamilton Project produces and commissions policy proposals and analyses to promote broad-based economic growth by embracing a significant role for well-designed government policies and public investment.
Posts
Higher new Census population estimates will affect the employment report
Labor force and employment numbers will be affected by new Census population revisions that account for immigration.
Employment & Wages
Immigration
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Posts
December 3, 2024
Immigration and the macroeconomy in the second Trump administration
This AEI-Brookings-Niskanen Center analysis explores the potential effects of President Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies on the economy.
Posts
October 22, 2024
Event recap—How would across-the-board tariffs create chaos in 2025?
On October 17, The Hamilton Project and the Peterson Institute for International Economics hosted a webinar to discuss the economic implications of across-the-…
Posts
October 16, 2024
Immigration and the macroeconomy after 2024
This analysis explores the potential effects of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies on GDP growth.
Posts
October 7, 2024
Tariffs on all imports would create chaos for business
Wendy Edelberg and Maurice Obstfeld warn that tariffs on all U.S. imports would create chaos for American businesses.
Papers
March 7, 2024
New immigration estimates help make sense of the pace of employment
This analysis considers recent immigration flows and implications for the labor market, consumer spending, GDP, and inflation.
Posts
November 16, 2023
High mortgage rates are probably here for a while (November 2023)
An analysis identifies factors behind the increase in mortgage rates and the gap between mortgage rates and U.S. Treasury securities.
Posts
May 23, 2023
Debt ceiling brinksmanship has clear negative effects on taxpayers
Debt limit brinksmanship is already impacting Treasury securities. The increase in interest rates represents a cost to taxpayers and a lack of confidence among…
Posts
March 23, 2023
Are we headed for the soft-ish landing projected by CBO and the Fed?
Recent CBO and Fed projections point toward a soft-ish landing: a return to low inflation with only a modest slowdown in economic activity and the labor market.